The US is in the process of self-immolating. It is easy to point fingers and there are plenty of culprits, but one thing stands out in all of this:
America's intelligence agencies failed to perform properly despite enormous resources and freedom of action. When the question involves intelligence agencies, it is not unreasonable to theorize adversarial intelligence agencies may have played a role in one's own intelligence agencies.
Where do we even begin to analyze such failures?
I have a wild idea: How about INTELLIGENCE?
Yes, I know... it's naughty to talk about things like Intelligence Quotient because, after all, everyone KNOWS that IQ merely measures the ability to take IQ tests, right?
Well at least everyone who is anyone in AMERICA knows that! By "everyone who is anyone" I mean, of course The People Who Matter -- The Great And The Good -- Our Beneficent Elite.
As for our adversaries, we must not be so certain that they share the piety of Our Beneficent Elite.
So I entertained a thought-crime: What if America's self-immolation was an assisted suicide -- sort of like a Fentanyl OD?
Running a numeric IQ-based model* of the Chinese intelligence agency advantage over America's intelligence agency, it comes out easily a factor of 10.
As Timothy Leary was fond of pointing out in his SMI²LE acronym, I² involves awareness by an Intelligence that applying its Intelligence to increase its Intelligence is highly advantageous and the higher the Intelligence the more likely it is to recognize this advantage.
In war the flip-side of I² holds:
Keeping the Intelligence of the adversary from recognizing I²'s advantage, and even, if possible, having it _attack_ its own Intelligence is going to be an obvious course of action at a given level of one's own Intelligence.
The baseline advantage enjoyed by the Chinese intelligence agency makes it highly likely that the post-WW II self-immolation of the very concept of human "intelligence" in America involved Chinese intelligence agency.
* Below is the wxMaxima model calculating the "baseline" advantage the PRC's intelligence agency enjoyed over America's intelligence agency.
The bottom line is given by chinese_agency_advantage_over_america which comes out at around a factor of 30.
This arises from two main factors:
- China's supply of metaphorical "genius ore" is greater than is America's.
- CCP intelligence agency is more efficiently "mining" its "genius ore".
First let's talk about the "genius ore":
Intelligence agencies rely on the nation's supply of genius-level intelligence. In the model below, this is referred to as "ore", such as "american_genius_ore", which is "mined" by the intelligence agencies. Although a properly run country would renewably cultivate and harvest its supply of genius, it is obvious that by permitting the economy to outbid the family for the fertile years of young women, each generation is ruthlessly selecting from the next generation the qualities demanded by the economy in this generation. Intelligence is increasingly among these qualities consumed by the economy, so "mining" is an apt metaphor. For reasons described herein, there is good reason to believe the CCP is not being as stupid as America in this regard.
The reason the CCP has more genius to mine is due to:
- Its greater population
- It's higher average IQ (even including American Ashkenazi Jewish 115 IQ)
- The exponential increase in advantage at the genius end of a bell curve of a higher average IQ.
- The increasing value of increasing IQ beyond the genius threshold (140 IQ in the below model).
Now let's talk about "mining efficiency":
- Admission to elite educational institutions in America has been trending away from measures of intelligence.
- Admission to civil service jobs has been trending away from measures of intelligence.
- The largest deposit of of "american_genius_ore" is among white men.
- Affirmative action has discriminated against white men -- men of European heritage -- for several decades.
- Affirmative action has been enthusiastically taken up by Ivy League colleges -- the primary source of elite personnel for American intelligence agencies.
- Affirmative action has been taken up enthusiastically by civil service employment -- subsuming American intelligence agencies.
- China's long history of civil service examination is still honored by the CCP.
- The CCP doesn't have the taboos against IQ testing suffered by America.
(%i3) ashkenazi_IQ: 115;
(%i14) genius_continuous:integrate(x*population*gaussian, x, genius_IQ, inf);
"Is "%sigma" positive or negative?"p;
(%i18) if numer#false then numer:false else numer:true;
(%i27) if numer#false then numer:false else numer:true;
(%i31) chinese_civil_service_mining_efficiency: 1/2;
(%i50) chinese_agency_advantage_over_america: chinese_intelligence_agency_genius/american_intelligence_agency_genius;